Edwards Throws Down the 50-State Strategy Gauntlet

[cross-posted on my blog at Madison For Edwards]

At the South Carolina Democratic Party Convention, on the heels of the SCSU debates from Thursday, John Edwards was the third speaker after Joe Biden and Bill Richardson.  As he was closing up his speech, which included the simple statement of why he is running for president as "so everyone in America has the same opportunities that I have had," he made a promise to the assembled delegates from the South Carolina Democratic Party.  He said that he would, as the nominee, be back to South Carolina to campaign in that state to do two things.  First, he would campaign there to win the state, and second, he would campaign there to continue to build the Democratic Party in South Carolina and in the South.  That's a bold promise, breaking the mold of our past nominees and something that bodes well for the vitality of our party nationally.

One of the reasons that I love Howard Dean as chairman of the DNC is that he is not only advocating but also actively pushing for our party to be a national party, competing everywhere for the White House, for Congressional and Senate seats, for governorships, and for state legislative seats.  The 50-State Strategy, leaving behind the narrow and dismal, both electorally and in terms of movement-building, "battleground mentality" helped us re-take Congress this year and will help us build majorities both nationally and on state levels.  But unless we have a nominee that not only understand that in 2008 (and beyond), but also actively engages in that kind of strategy, the idea will not gain further mainstream Democratic acceptance.  And that is one thing we must demand of our nominee in 2008.

I believe, because of national and even some state-based political dynamics, that we can retain most, if not all of the 'blue' states from 2004.  But that still leaves us short electorally.  I worked in Ohio in 2004, and I believe we could have, if not actually did, won there.  That would have gotten us to the magic electoral college number for John Kerry to be entering a re-election campaign.  In many ways, the Bush presidency's second term has been one of the most disastrous in American history - outdone only by the first Bush term and the Reagan years.  In other ways, John Kerry was not a nominee that could build a sustainable majority or a movement, we would not have had the chance to draw lines between the failures of conservativism and the prospects of progressivism, and we would still be locked in a 1990s mentality of politics.  But as we look at 2008 (or 2012, 2016, and beyond), we must look for candidates that are going to look beyond just holding the 'blue' states and picking off either Florida or Ohio or some other combination of smaller states like Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico.

The candidate(s) that seek to win electoral votes in places like the two Carolinas, the aforementioned Iowa, Missouri, Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico, and other places like Tennessee, Arkansas, Montana, Oklahoma, and Indiana, are the people we should support as part of the progressive movement.  I don't need to tell you why we need to compete everywhere.  It is good for us electorally, and it is good for us to developing the party and for developing the progressive brand in places that have grown for want of some alternative to hard-righ conservativism.  

But there are two questions for us when looking at presidential candidates.  First, who will pay attention to the state that are within the realm of possibility to win and actually campaign there, eschewing Shrumism, Brazilleism, and Cahillism.  Clearly, John Edwards has thrown down the gauntlet to other candidates and declared that he will campaign for the hearts, minds, and votes of citizens in places outside the friendly confines of the 'blue' states and 'swing' states.

As a quick aside, it is a testament to a new brand of politics emerging within the Democratic Party and the progressive movement, and our legitimacy in mainstream progressive and Democratic politics, that a stump speech froma major candidate for the highest office in the land didn't just talk about problems, issues, solutions and values (well, in my opinion, there are only two candidates, maybe one, that actually talk about Democratic/liberal/progressive values) but also things like strategy.  That a candidate felt compelled to talk about engaging in a 50-State Strategy means that this is taking hold and becoming semi-conventional wisdom and that said candidate, John Edwards, is "one of us."  He gets it - and I'm glad he took a little bit of time to advance that cause with his bully pulpit.

But I'm more glad that he gets it for the sake that he gets it.  It means we have a better chance to win the White House.  It means we have a chance to elect more down-ballot Democrats.  It means we have a chance to build brand Demoract and the progressive movement.  

The second point I made is that we need to look for a nominee that not only gets that we need to compete everywhere - and that it's good for us and the health of democracy and Democratic politics in this country - but also one that can win in places where Democrats have not been strong in national politics in the past election cycles.  Because of things like actually having a plan for rural America (first I can remember from a presidential candidate), having a real plan for universal healthcare, talking about and having plans for economic justice and political populism, and being able to articulate a vision for this country firmly rooted in a set of core moral values that can resonate with a wide variety of people and voters, I believe John Edwards has the best chance to make competitive and win in places like those I mentioned above.

Take a look at John Edwards' website.  Ninety-nine county Democratic Party chairs just endorsed him.  In Oklahoma, an overwhelming majority of the state legislature's Democrats endorsed as well.  Georgia's last Democratic governor endorsed John Edwards.  In South Dakota, the at-large Congressional rep, Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin did too.  These are just some examples.  But what these folks know is that John will compete and can win there, but they also know that he is good for down-ballot Democrats there as well.  The next up-and-coming Democratic candidate for statehouse in one of those states I listed above, as well as the other states in America, are going to do a lot better with a John Edwards at the top of the ticket because he can bring a lot of people out to vote for Democrats, even where people aren't used to pulling the lever for the "D".  

He's got the plans, he's got the personality and character, and he's got the ability to connect with people and get them voting Democrat, in all kinds of places in all 50 states.  And just as importantly, he's got the mindset that we can and should get out to all 50 states to campaign to win.  It's politically smart for 2008, it's great for building a movement.  I'm proud every day to be out supporting and working hard for John Edwards, because he's one Democratic candidate that gets that this race is about something bigger than putting a given candidate in the White House on a number of levels.  He's shown leadership on this level and I hope that like on many other things from this campaign, the other candidates follow him as well.



Display:


Re: Edwards Throws Down the 50-State Strategy Gaun (none / 0)

"That a candidate felt compelled to talk about engaging in a 50-State Strategy means that this is taking hold and becoming semi-conventional wisdom and that said candidate, John Edwards, is "one of us."

This line really say alot, for sure.


Check out the New Progressive Blog EENRBLOG
by dk2 on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 01:59:37 AM EST

I like the sentiment (3.00 / 1)

The nominee should campaign more outside just the purple and blue states.  But it also goes both ways.  The candidates should be welcomed by the local and state level Democrats.  Lets be honest, that is not always the case.


by dpANDREWS on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 07:33:20 AM EST

Re: I like the sentiment (3.00 / 2)

You make a good point - I don't think some of our candidates would be welcome all across the country. At least, they wouldn't help down-ticket races at all.

John isn't one of those candidates.


Join us at Show Me Progress!
by clarkent on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 08:02:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Yeah, an Edwards (3.00 / 1)

candidacy gives us a chance at a 60-vote majority in the Senate.

For example, I'm pretty sure I know who the Dem candidate for Senate in North Carolina will want at the top of the ticket.

Good diary.


by david mizner on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 10:08:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, an Edwards (3.00 / 1)

Yes! Next year, candidates for US Senate in Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Texas would all likely prefer Edwards at the top of the ticket.


Join us at Show Me Progress!
by clarkent on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 10:39:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Yeah, an Edwards (none / 0)

Love the optimism, but which 9 are we talking about?  

Still, if we got to 55-56, we can begin to put a ton of pressure on whatever Blue State republican senators are still around -- they'll remember what happened to Chafee for a long time.  We might even get some defections.


Michigan For Edwards and Labor-Netroots for Edwards
by philgoblue on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 10:59:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Our best 5, and the other four have to ... (none / 0)

... come from the Republican scandal du jour.


*John Edwards* ... and the JE08 Supporters Blog
by BruceMcF on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 02:18:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Our best 5, and the other four have to ... (3.00 / 0)

Or the scandal of what conservativism really is: sticking it to everyone but the socially and economically privileged.


Help build a stronger and more progressive Democratic Party from the grassroots on up
by Peter from WI on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 02:28:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I think that's where a serious best 5 comes ... (none / 0)

... from in the first place. For many of the rest, is narrows the margin but may not eliminate it.

Here, the fact that habits of thought and behavior are not eliminated overnight helps us out ... there certainly will be more scandals uncovered, and while some will be from pre-November 2006, some will be from after, and demonstrate to some part of the electorate that the Republicans did not learn their lesson and need another spanking.


*John Edwards* ... and the JE08 Supporters Blog
by BruceMcF on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 03:16:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Don't let the Southern accent fool ya (none / 0)

Edwards may be from the south but his has some very progressive ideas that make the wingnuts nervous, and the democrats that suck up to wingnuts in states like Alabama, etc.


by dpANDREWS on Mon Apr 30, 2007 at 10:10:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

50 States Strategy, Not Southern Strategy (3.00 / 1)

I am all for taking a 50 state strategy approach. My concern would be that in trying to win those states that the Dems will through the gays under the bus in order to get there. That would be unacceptful to me. We should definitely make our case in the so-called red states and I believe that we can do it without going the road of the flip-flopping trio of Rudy Guiliani, John McCain and Mitt Romeny.


Viva la Revolucion!
by Bloggernista on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 10:00:53 AM EST

Temptation (3.00 / 3)

There will be the temptation to abandon unpopular minorities.  Therefore we need to talk about human rights and aspirations and American values.  When we do that then we can build bridges where rural populations will come to identify with gays.

It won't happen in a day but if we have the courage to pursue the long long term interests of the American people then it will happen.

Given that the Republicans are so weak right now, there is a real opportunity for us to have the courage of our convictions.  When we do, we will be surprised how many Americans will come to agree with us.


by Hellmut on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 11:36:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: 50 States Strategy, Not Southern Strategy (3.00 / 4)

We don't need to throw anyone under the bus to win.

A winning message is one that puts the focus squarely on issues that matter to voters and making sure they understand that those need to be first priority.

And we can break down some of the negativity around the gays and abortion by explaining why our support for civil rights and reproductive freedom comes from a place of core values - which are the same values that put economic justice, healthcare for all, fair trade, and global leadership up front.


Help build a stronger and more progressive Democratic Party from the grassroots on up
by Peter from WI on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 02:27:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Indeed, a 50 point strategy calls for not ... (3.00 / 1)

... throwing people under the bus at all.

We need positive things to run on for a 50 state strategy ... there simply is no culture war issue that plays uniformly well across all nine cultural regions of the country.


*John Edwards* ... and the JE08 Supporters Blog
by BruceMcF on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 03:18:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Edwards Throws Down the 50-State Strategy Gaun (1.00 / 2)

John Edwards COULDNT even win his home state.....He needs to drop out of the race.


by vamonticello on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 03:44:45 PM EST

Re: Edwards Throws Down the 50-State Strategy Gaun (3.00 / 3)

Didn't you just post this on the DKos version of this diary?

Just in case that wasn't you, or someone hasn't told you yet, that's a canard of falsehood.

Part of the point of this diary is to show that candidates for president should no longer be allowed to write off certain parts of this country or even particular states.  In 2004, John Kerry, at the top of the ticket, wrote off the south, inclusive of North Carolina.

John Edwards, being a good VP nominee, campaigned along with the Kerry team's "strategy" of Mary Beth Cahill, Bob Shrum, and Donna Brazille.  That meant that, even though he was a popular Democratic senator in North Carolina, John Edwards did not go to NC to campaign for the ticket or for Erskine Bowles.  John Edwards wasn't on the ballot for senator, but even though he was on the ballot for VP, he wasn't allowed to campaign there.  

Would you ever think of a Congressional canidate or Senate candidate running for office (or really, any candidate for any office) and not actually being out campaigning?  Of course they're not going to get many votes.  Had John Edwards gone to NC, he would have won that state - but he wasn't allowed to because of the narrow battleground mentality that is finally starting to die its rightful death.  


Help build a stronger and more progressive Democratic Party from the grassroots on up
by Peter from WI on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 04:01:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Edwards Throws Down the 50-State Strategy Gaun (3.00 / 1)

That's a popular misconception:

In the senate race, the Republicans gained the seat formerly held by John Edwards (search). If Edwards had run for reelection against Republican Richard Burr (search), it appears Edwards would have held on to his seat by a 53 percent -- 47 percent margin. Seven percent of those voters that would have voted for Edwards voted for Burr.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,1375 21,00.html

Sure, he may not have been able to keep Kerry from losing NC, but had he run for re-election, he would have won.  John Edwards can win North Carolina.


"And so in the place of the palace of privilege, we seek to build a temple out of faith and hope and charity."-FDR
by jallen on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 08:15:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Similar statement in West Virginia (none / 0)

Edwards said something very similar in a recent visit to  West Virginia. He and Elizabeth made a lot of trips here last cycle. If he's the nominee, I think he's got a great chance of returning West Virginia to the Dem presidential column.

One early positive indicator: Edwards leads in West Virginia presidential fund raising. In fact, in Q1 he raised more than the entire rest of the field (Dem and Republican) combined. (For comic relief check out McCain's paltry showing.)


by WVaBlue on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 07:17:04 PM EST

Re: Similar statement in West Virginia (3.00 / 1)

Sorry Mountaineers, I totally forgot about WV when i wrote this originally.  I keep thinking that WV, like it had been for most of the 20th century, was blue in 2004.  It was not.  It should be.  There's no excuse for not picking up these electoral votes in a state with a high level of poverty, good unionization rates, and lots of blue-collar workers (especially miners).  The only reasons we wouldn't win this state is if we either a) have a bad candidate for connecting with WV voters or b) fail to campaign there.


Help build a stronger and more progressive Democratic Party from the grassroots on up
by Peter from WI on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 10:15:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Hm those 9... (none / 0)

1. Colorado

  1. Virginia
  2. New Hampshire
  3. Maine
  4. Oregon
  5. Minnesota
  6. New Mexico
  7. North Carolina
  8. Nebraska

etc. seems uphill but possible to me. Assumeing we can hold Louisiana, South Dakota, Iowa and New Jersey which should'nt be to hard.


Running the Davis, Nelson Klein team in Florida.
by Liberal on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 10:27:54 PM EST

Re: Hm those 9... (none / 0)

Colorado at this point is a given.

Virginia will be a given if Mark Warner can be convinced to run.

New Hampshire would be sure-fire if Lynch could be drafted, or even if Shaheen gets in.

Maine will be tough.

Oregon will be tough, especially since the strongest candidate won't run.

Minnesota will be a cliffhanger.  I wish RT Rybak had decided to run, but Franken might have what it takes.

New Mexico is a given if Udall or Richardon goes for it.

North Carolina would be a great race for Edwards assuming he doesn't get the nomination, or if we could draft Gov. Easley or Brad Miller to the race.

Nebraska... we should encourage Hagel to defect.


The sharpest criticism often goes hand in hand with the deepest idealism and love of country. ~RFK
by Vox Populi on Sun Apr 29, 2007 at 10:50:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Hm those 9... (none / 0)

No. Al. Franken.

Kthnxplzbai!11!


by MNPundit on Mon Apr 30, 2007 at 10:13:48 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Edwards Throws Down the 50-State Strategy Gaun (none / 0)

At the last town Hall for Edwards I attended in Iowa, had I gotten to ask my question it would have been "As President, how would you continue to build the Democratic Brand?" Unfortunately he asked the quadriplegic guy in the front row the last question.

Oh well, the guy had connections so I shan't complain.


by MNPundit on Mon Apr 30, 2007 at 10:12:54 PM EST


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